Department of Decision Sciences

Prof E Mudimu

College of Economic and Management Sciences
School of Economic and Financial Sciences
Department: Decision Sciences
Associate Professor
Tel: 012 433 4730
E-mail: mudime@unisa.ac.za

Qualifications

  • BSc (Hons) in Applied Mathematics (NUST)
  • MSc in Operations Research (NUST)
  • PhD in Operations Research (UNISA)

Currently teaching

  • Simulation Modelling
  • Stochastic Modelling
  • Masters and PhD supervisor

Fields of academic interests

  • Mathematical Modelling of infectious diseases
  • Agent based simulation

Field of Specialisation

  • Simulation
  • Operations Research

Journal articles

  • Bansi-Matharu L., Mudimu E., Martin-Hughes R., Hamilton M, et al. (2022) Cost-effectiveness of voluntary medical male circumcision for HIV prevention across sub-Saharan Africa: results from five independent models. The Lancet Global Health, 11(2). https://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(22)00515-0
  • Bershteyn A., Mudimu E., Platis I., Mwalili S., et al. (2022) Understanding the Evolving Role of Voluntary Medical Male Circumcision as a Public Health Strategy in Eastern and Southern Africa: Opportunities and Challenges. Current HIV/AIDS Reports, 19. https://link.springer.com/journal/11904
  • Mudimu E., Bershteyn A., (2022). Commentary: How much could long-acting PrEP cost in South Africa? The Lancet HIV. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2352-3018(22)00293-4
  • Mudimu E., Sardinia J., Momin S., Medina‐Marino A., et al. (2022). Incremental costs of integrated PrEP provision and effective use counselling in community-based platforms for adolescent girls and young women in South Africa: an observational study. Journal of the International AIDS Society, 25(2). https://doi.org/10.1002/jia2.25875
  • Bershteyn A., Jamieson L., Kim HY., Platais I., Milali MP., Mudimu E., et al. (2022). Transmission reduction, health benefits, and upper-bound costs of interventions to improve retention on antiretroviral therapy: a combined analysis of three mathematical models.  Lancet Glob Health;10: e1298–06. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(22)00310-2
  • Revill P., Rangaraj A., Makochekanwa A., Mpofu A., et al. (2022) Perspectives on the use of modelling and economic analysis to guide HIV programmes in sub-Saharan Africa. The Lancet HIV, Viewpoint Available Online https://doi.org/10.1016/S2352-3018(22)00035-2
  • Phillips AN., Bershteyn A., Revill P., Bansi-Matharu L., Kripke K., Boily MC., et al. (2022). Cost-effectiveness of easy-access, risk-informed oral pre-exposure prophylaxis in HIV epidemics in sub-Saharan Africa: a modelling study. The Lancet HIV; 5(9): e353-e362. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2352-3018(22)00029-7
  • Stover J., Kelly SL., Mudimu E., Green D., at al. (2021). The Risks and Benefits of Providing HIV Services during the COVID-19 Pandemic. PLoS One, 2021;16(12): e0260820. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34941876/
  • The impact of the program for medical male circumcision on HIV in South Africa: analysis using three epidemiological models [version 1; peer review: awaiting peer review]. Gates Open Res 2021,5:15 (https://doi.org/10.12688/gatesopenres.13220.1)
  • Mudimu E., Peebles K., Mukandavire Z., Nightingale E., et al., (2020). Individual and community-level benefits of PrEP in western Kenya and South Africa: Implications for population prioritization of PrEP provision. PloS One, 2020 Vol 15(12): e0244761. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0244761
  • Sharma M., Mudimu E., Simeon K., Bershteyn A., Dorward J., et al (2020). Cost-effectiveness of point-of-care testing with task-shifting for HIV care in South Africa: a modelling study. Lancet HIV, 2020, Vol 8(4): E216-E224. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2352-3018(20)30279-4
  • Jewell BL., Mudimu E., Stover J., Ten Brink D., at al. (2020) Potential effects of disruption to HIV programmes in sub-Saharan Africa caused by COVID-19: results from multiple mathematical models. Lancet HIV, https://doi.org/10.1016/S2352-3018(20)30211-3
  • Bershteyn A., Sharma M., Akullian A.N., et al., … Mudimu E., (2020). Impact along the HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis “cascade of prevention” in western Kenya: a mathematical modelling study. Journal of the International AIDS Society, Vol. 23(S3): 96-104
  • Nhamo S., Mudimu E., (2020). Shifting from deductions to credits – unpacking the distributional effects of medical expenditure in South Africa. UNU-WIDER project Southern Africa – Towards Inclusive Economic Development (SA-TIED)
  • Mudimu E., Engelbrecht G.N., (2015). Agent-based model for social and sexual partnerships formation. Adaptive Behavior, 2015, Vol. 23(I): 34-49
  • Maposa D., Mudimu E., Ngwenya O., (2010). A multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) of the performance of sorghum lines in different agro-ecological regions of Zimbabwe. African Journal of Agricultural Research, Vol. 5(3) pp. 196-203.
  • Maposa D., Mudimu E., Sigauke C., Mlilo P., Nyamugure P., Dube S., (2011). Relating Glycemia Levels in a Zimbabwean Population to some established Type 2 Diabetes Risk Factors using Multiple Linear Regression Analysis. Archives of Applied Science Research, 3 (1): 333-342.
  • Sigauke C., Maposa D., Mudimu E., Nyamugure P., (2010). Volatility Modelling using ARIMA-GARCH models in a hyperinflationary economic environment: The Zimbabwean experience. Peer-reviewed Proceedings of the Annual Conference of the South African Statistical Association.
  • Moolla H., Phillips A., Brink D., Mudimu E., et al. (2023). A quantitative assessment of the consistency of projections from five mathematical models of the HIV epidemic in South Africa: a model comparison study. BMC Public Health 23:2119. https://doi.org/‌10.1186/s12889-023-16995-9
  • Chazuka Z., Mudimu E., and Mathebula D., (2023). Stability and bifurcation analysis of an HIV model with pre-exposure prophylaxis and treatment interventions. Scientific African (23). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sciaf.2023.e01979

Paper presentations

  • Mudimu E., Sardinia J, Momin S, Medina‐Marino A, at al. (2021). Incremental costs of integrated PrEP provision and effective use support in community-based platforms for adolescent girls and young women in South Africa. International AIDS Society, 2021 Virtual Conference: Presented a poster: https://theprogramme.ias2021.org/‌Abstract/‌Abstract/1299
  • Hargreaves J., Philips A., Mudimu E., How do we strengthen routine HIV data and enhance the use of models to inform programme design? AIDS 2020 Virtual Conference: Presentation done under MeSH / HIV MC IAS virtual satellite: https://cattendee.abstractsonline.com/meeting/9289/presentation/3818
  • Mudimu E., Peebles K., Bershteyn A., (2019) Model-based comparison of the individual-level and community-level benefits of PrEP in South Africa: implications for priority populations. 10th IAS Conference on HIV Science (IAS 2019), Mexico City, 21-24 July 2019.
  • Mudimu E., Bershteyn A., (2019) Exploring differences in empirical incidence data in South African surveys using an agent-based network model. 10th IAS Conference on HIV Science (IAS 2019), Mexico City, 21-24 July 2019
  • Mudimu E., (2018). Social, sexual network formation and HIV transmission6th Annual Disease Modeling Symposium 2018, Institute for Disease Modeling, Intellectual ventures, Bellevue, Washington, United States of America 16-18 April 2018.
  • Mudimu E., (2017). The Effect of Sexual Networks on Fertility Levels. 31st Annual European Simulation and Modelling (ESM’2017) Conference, Lisbon, Portugal, 25-27 October 2017.
  • Mudimu E., (2015). Agent-based model for social and sexual partnerships formation. 44th Annual Conference of the Operations Research Society of South Africa (ORRSA), Pecan Manor, Hartbeespoort, 13-16 September 2015.
  • Mudimu E., (2011) Modelling HIV/AIDS in a mixed population using an agent-based approach. 40th Annual Conference of the Operations Research Society of South Africa (ORRSA), Elephant Hills Hotel, Victoria Falls, Zimbabwe, 18-21 September 2011.
  • Riba E, Malan K, Mudimu E(2023). Machine learning methods do have a place in univariate time series forecasting. Proceedings of the Fourth Southern African Conference for Artificial Intelligence Research. online, 2023. https://2023.sacair.org.za/sacair‌23‌proceedings/

Professional positions, fellowships & awards

ACADEMIC AND SCIENTIFIC CITIZENSHIP

  • HIV Modelling Consortium
    • Member since 2020
    • Executive committee member January 2023
  • Operations Research Society of South Africa (ORSSA)
    • Member since 2009

AWARDS

  • UNISA CEMS Tuition Award – Excellent Module Design (2017)
  • Devloping Researcher Award – UNISA Women-in-Research Award 2011
  • NUST Book Prize: Best graduating student in MSc Operations Research 2004
  • Vice Chancellors Prize: Best graduating student in MSc Operations Research 2004